Are they still the JV team?
A series of explosions has rocked the Indonesian capital, Jakarta, with gun battles on the streets.
The blasts were centred around Thamrin Street, a major shopping and business district close to foreign embassies and the United Nations offices.
So-called Islamic State (IS) said it carried out the attacks, a news agency linked to the militant group said.
Apparently the Indonesian police say that a local group that’s allied to IS, but isn’t really directed by the IS is responsible for the bombing that killed seven, including the five attackers.
This brings me to speculate a bit about the nature of what IS. Its terrorist activities appear to be split into two buckets: 1) IS directed and 2) IS inspired.
It’s the “inspired” bucket that worries me more.
I think IS directed attacks are probably easier for the intelligence community to track, since they require coordination and planning. There is always a chance someone will report suspicious activity. There’s the possibility of suspicious financial transfers being caught early. Planning can always be compromised, although it often is not. Directed attacks can be more complex in nature, given the coordination required, judging from the Paris attacks last November, and even though the assailants weren’t caught in time to prevent the attacks, financial intelligence helped map covert networks by tracking financial transactions.
But IS-inspired attacks are different. IS doesn’t direct those. It doesn’t plan them. It doesn’t get involved, and is probably often surprised, albeit delighted, by their occurrence.
When the two scumbags launched an attack on San Bernardino, ISIS praised the two terrorists, but stopped short of claiming responsibility. The female gargoyle pledged her allegiance to ISIS in an online posting, but the attack doesn’t appear to have been directed by them. They simply stockpiled guns, went on a rampage, and tried to get away in a car, which didn’t work out so well for them. I suspected they had been planning a bigger attack, given the number of guns they had collected, and said at the time (and still say) that the murdering swine lost his shit at the party, went back home, grabbed his jihadist whore, and proceeded to take his rage out on his co-workers. The investigation is far from complete in this case, but I do think we averted a larger attack – perhaps even an IS-directed one – due to this douche pickle’s premature detonation.
The Philadelphia swine molester who shot a police officer a few days ago was also “inspired” to murder. There was no planning required, no coordination, and no financial trail. He simply used a stolen police firearm (so those of you screeching about more gun control can STFU – no law could have prevented this), stopped a cop car, and proceeded to shoot.
Yesterday’s attack on the Indonesian capital of Jakarta seems to bear a resemblance to Paris, and the New York Times reports that IS has claimed responsibility for the attack. According to the Times, “[a]t least 16 terrorism suspects have been arrested in Indonesia in the past month alone, and the police said they received information in late November that the Islamic State was planning “a concert” in Indonesia, possibly meaning an attack.” The police in Indonesia appear to have been aware of the attack’s organizer prior to yesterday’s attack.
Mr. Bahrun served a prison sentence in West Java Province in Indonesia in 2012 for illegal possession of firearms and explosives, and he is identified as the author of a recent blog post praising the November terrorist attacks in Paris and their high death toll. The post, titled “Lessons from the Paris Attacks,” urged his fellow Indonesians “to study the planning, targeting, timing, coordination, security and courage of the Paris teams,” …
While there seems to be some conflicting reporting as to whether the attack was IS-directed, or simply the brainchild of an ex-con inspired by the Paris attacks, AFP reports that Bahrun had gone to Syria and joined IS and had directed the attacks from there, and at least the Jakarta police chief Tito Karnavian didn’t seem too shocked, claiming Bahrun “he had been ‘planning attacks such as this.'”
Does knowledge such as this help stop these attacks? Likely not. Reports seem to show that something is coming, but it’s tough to say where, when, or how. Even now-declassified infamous PDB that assessed an attack was coming in the United States prior to September 11, didn’t identify how and when the attacks were coming.
However, given now much organization it took to plan and execute these attacks, we were soon able to hone in on targets, freeze assets, and identify networks.
With these lone-wolf, IS-inspired attacks, there’s little to examine. More likely than not there isn’t a network to target. More likely than not, there’s no financial trail to follow. More likely than not, there is little to no coordination or real plotting. More often than not, these weak-minded jihadist scum are seduced by effective ISIS social media campaigns and professional recruitment videos.
How does one stop that? How does one counter that?
Yes, more due diligence should have been done before allowing Tashfeen Malik to enter this country on a K1 visa. But that would not have stopped natural born radicalized American citizens, such as her husband Syed Farook and Nidal Hasan, the mass murdering yambag who killed our troops at Ft. Hood.
Sure, one could scour social media or use programs like Carnivore to scour electronic communications, but then you run across very real, very serious privacy issues.
That’s what really makes these lone wolf psychos dangerous. And that’s what makes IS even more so. Planned, coordinated attacks can be prevented, although obviously not even close to always. But it is hard to predict whom the IS social media campaigns have reached, whom they have converted, and what those feeble-minded, easily-influenced monkeys are planning to do once they pledge their heart and soul to IS. Thanks to the Internet IS reach is wide, and even the poorest, slum-dwelling derelict can have access to their message.
And that’s what keeps me up at night.