Deadly Inspiration

starbuxAre they still the JV team?

A series of explosions has rocked the Indonesian capital, Jakarta, with gun battles on the streets.

The blasts were centred around Thamrin Street, a major shopping and business district close to foreign embassies and the United Nations offices.

[…]

So-called Islamic State (IS) said it carried out the attacks, a news agency linked to the militant group said.

Apparently the Indonesian police say that a local group that’s allied to IS, but isn’t really directed by the IS is responsible for the bombing that killed seven, including the five attackers.

This brings me to speculate a bit about the nature of what IS. Its terrorist activities appear to be split into two buckets: 1) IS directed and 2) IS inspired.

It’s the “inspired” bucket that worries me more.

I think IS directed attacks are probably easier for the intelligence community to track, since they require coordination and planning. There is always a chance someone will report suspicious activity. There’s the possibility of suspicious financial transfers being caught early. Planning can always be compromised, although it often is not. Directed attacks can be more complex in nature, given the coordination required, judging from the Paris attacks last November, and even though the assailants weren’t caught in time to prevent the attacks, financial intelligence helped map covert networks by tracking financial transactions.

But IS-inspired attacks are different. IS doesn’t direct those. It doesn’t plan them. It doesn’t get involved, and is probably often surprised, albeit delighted, by their occurrence.

When the two scumbags launched an attack on San Bernardino, ISIS praised the two terrorists, but stopped short of claiming responsibility. The female gargoyle pledged her allegiance to ISIS in an online posting, but the attack doesn’t appear to have been directed by them. They simply stockpiled guns, went on a rampage, and tried to get away in a car, which didn’t work out so well for them. I suspected they had been planning a bigger attack, given the number of guns they had collected, and said at the time (and still say) that the murdering swine lost his shit at the party, went back home, grabbed his jihadist whore, and proceeded to take his rage out on his co-workers. The investigation is far from complete in this case, but I do think we averted a larger attack – perhaps even an IS-directed one – due to this douche pickle’s premature detonation.

The Philadelphia swine molester who shot a police officer a few days ago was also “inspired” to murder. There was no planning required, no coordination, and no financial trail. He simply used a stolen police firearm (so those of you screeching about more gun control can STFU – no law could have prevented this), stopped a cop car, and proceeded to shoot.

Yesterday’s attack on the Indonesian capital of Jakarta seems to bear a resemblance to Paris, and the New York Times reports that IS has claimed responsibility for the attack. According to the Times, “[a]t least 16 terrorism suspects have been arrested in Indonesia in the past month alone, and the police said they received information in late November that the Islamic State was planning “a concert” in Indonesia, possibly meaning an attack.” The police in Indonesia appear to have been aware of the attack’s organizer prior to yesterday’s attack.

Mr. Bahrun served a prison sentence in West Java Province in Indonesia in 2012 for illegal possession of firearms and explosives, and he is identified as the author of a recent blog post praising the November terrorist attacks in Paris and their high death toll. The post, titled “Lessons from the Paris Attacks,” urged his fellow Indonesians “to study the planning, targeting, timing, coordination, security and courage of the Paris teams,” …

While there seems to be some conflicting reporting as to whether the attack was IS-directed, or simply the brainchild of an ex-con inspired by the Paris attacks, AFP reports that Bahrun had gone to Syria and joined IS and had directed the attacks from there, and at least the Jakarta police chief Tito Karnavian didn’t seem too shocked, claiming Bahrun “he had been ‘planning attacks such as this.'”

Does knowledge such as this help stop these attacks? Likely not. Reports seem to show that something is coming, but it’s tough to say where, when, or how. Even now-declassified infamous PDB that assessed an attack was coming in the United States prior to September 11, didn’t identify how and when the attacks were coming.

However, given now much organization it took to plan and execute these attacks, we were soon able to hone in on targets, freeze assets, and identify networks.

With these lone-wolf, IS-inspired attacks, there’s little to examine. More likely than not there isn’t a network to target. More likely than not, there’s no financial trail to follow. More likely than not, there is little to no coordination or real plotting. More often than not, these weak-minded jihadist scum are seduced by effective ISIS social media campaigns and professional recruitment videos.

How does one stop that? How does one counter that?

Yes, more due diligence should have been done before allowing Tashfeen Malik to enter this country on a K1 visa. But that would not have stopped natural born radicalized American citizens, such as her husband Syed Farook and Nidal Hasan, the mass murdering yambag who killed our troops at Ft. Hood.

Sure, one could scour social media or use programs like Carnivore to scour electronic communications, but then you run across very real, very serious privacy issues.

That’s what really makes these lone wolf psychos dangerous. And that’s what makes IS even more so. Planned, coordinated attacks can be prevented, although obviously not even close to always. But it is hard to predict whom the IS social media campaigns have reached, whom they have converted, and what those feeble-minded, easily-influenced monkeys are planning to do once they pledge their heart and soul to IS. Thanks to the Internet IS reach is wide, and even the poorest, slum-dwelling derelict can have access to their message.

And that’s what keeps me up at night.

14 responses

  1. This is the difference between AQ and ISIL. Al Qaeda vetted anyone who wanted in on their activities, and was actually careful about who they even indirectly supported.

    Not so with these guys.

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  2. They’re turning to social media for tactics and information on how to prepare for attacks, but they’re first being radicalized in the mosques – and from an early age. The stringent doctrine coupled with a lack of tolerance for others, the self-segregation, the harsh punitive system for transgressions, the subjugation of women. Put all this in the midst of a liberal society where men and women are viewed as equal and few people care if someone is turned on by those of their own sex and you’re going to end up with some angry young men who don’t feel like they’re getting the “respect” they deserve by the accident of having been born with testicles.

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    1. Some are getting radicalized in their adult years. It takes a very weak mind to be broken like that.

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  3. I am not so much worried about the occasional ISIS inspired attacker as the organisation and culture of Islam that inspires the migrants to pillage and rape in Cologne as just one example, but across the world wherever they congregate in large enough groups to get away with it. The numbers of girls of Rotherham and wherever the rapists set up organised networks are in their thousands. But even worse is that the police and government departments who want to play down the religous factor and the MSM who collude because it might impact on how non offenders are treated. I’m sorry but if a culture promotes this attitude towards women and to non-believers’ property then it ought to be named at every opportunity.

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    1. Those who think sexual assault is a great way to celebrate the New Year, as they did in Cologne, need to be sent back to their respective shitholes and sodomized by a horde of rabid hogs. Germany has already changed its law to make deporting these motherfuckers easier. Good for them! Their eyes are finally opening.

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  4. I sense an increase in confidence in the attacks of both types recently. While in no way excusing the ‘inspired by’ attacks as sometimes having mental health causes, I think the rising tide of attacks sets off a kind of chain reaction among the mentally unstable. As well as the fanatically inclined. They are coming out of the woodwork at a pretty brisk clip these days and I agree they are a real worry.

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  5. Very happy to see a woman not brainwashed by all the liberal claptrap and speaking out. Go Nicki.

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  6. “How does one stop that? How does one counter that?”

    One recognizes that these sorts of attacks are inherent to Islam, proceeding from its’ fundamental doctrines, and they will continue as long as Islam does.

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  7. The problem with analyzing and comparing these attacks, is that they really aren’t difficult to carry out. For the maximum measure of success, some of these are well choreographed. But any group of armchair jihadis can select a couple of targets for a complex attack [IEDs, small arms fire], and carry them out with an expected level of casualties and mayhem. Given that Indonesians have long made up a near-majority of foreign fighters in Syria [certainly a majority from southeast Asia], the domestic terror groups have had a long history with IS.

    What will be telling is if/when we see IS-Syria specific tactics, techniques and procedures, previously only seen in Syria/Iraq, in other countries. Until then, it’s often a difficult leap to ascertain whether the plan was “IS directed” or “IS inspired”.

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    1. Well, it’s not ascertaining whether directed or inspired that I’m worried about. I’m more concerned about the ability to track and investigate, which is more difficult with the crazies inspired by the IS.

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  8. Glad I read the article. From the pic I thought a barista at Starchucks had spelled muhmm,, mohimm., uh the 7th century psychopathic sexual pervert incorrectly.

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  9. I am going to have to disagree with you here. I find IS directed attacks to be the scarier prospect of the two. While IS inspired attacks may be harder to detect, the fact that they generally are much simpler means they are easier to deal with as they happen. One or two A holes go shoot up a place, and CCW can give you the opportunity to end it pretty fast with a minimal death count. Even if there is no CCW allowed in the area people inspired to act by IS generally are not knowledgeable in the ways to maximize causalities leaving their death counts relatively low.

    IS directed attacks tend to be far more complex, harder to defend against, and get a far higher casualty rate. Your going to get bombs and firearms used in conjunction to heard people into kill zones. The perpetrates are also more likely to be better armed and armored and in greater numbers, making your chances of successes as a CCW person stopping them much lower.

    I see the data gathered after an IS directed attack as sort of a wash when compared to IS inspired, due to the end results being the same, the people responsible for the attack are prevented from making another. I don’t think the intelligence that is gathered and being acted on has a major affect on the source. Until we start putting some major hurt IS over there, even if we track down and kill the person the original organizer of such attack, they can just easily replace them.

    Also as a side note I thought I read somewhere that the San Bernardino terrorists had planned an earlier attack but did not go through with it for some reason. Considering I have seen multiple reports saying the initial reports of there being an altercation being false, It might be the reverse. There initial target may have been something like a convention, but they realized security was too high, a few days or weeks later frustrated by not hitting their major target, and being to impatient to plan out another hit, Fuck-Tard 1 decides while at the Holiday party it was as good as a target as any calls his wife, Fuck-Tard 2, to grab the stuff for the attack. Personally I think that fits what happened a bit better. In the end though I guess it really does not matter in either case.

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    1. I agree inspired attacks are easier to stop while happening and generally have a lower casualty count. But planned attacks are easier to prevent, and it has happened. I think I linked to it somewhere in this post, actually. Thing is most of the time we don’t hear about planned attacks being prevented, because a lot of times the details are classified and since no attack happened, it’s not news. Kind of like self defense stories in which the would be victim merely brandishes a gun.

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